Elon Musk Pretends He’s Leaving The Job He Supposedly Doesn’t Have To Not Return To The Job He Supposedly Never Left

from the political-kayfabe dept

There are a few ways to think about Elon Musk’s announcement this week that he’s stepping back from DOGE. The first is that he’s leaving a job he officially doesn’t have. The second is that he’s returning to a job (Tesla CEO) that he’s supposedly been doing this whole time. The third, and perhaps most interesting, is that none of this actually makes any sense at all.

The announcement came during Tesla’s latest earnings call (which was, to put it gently, not great). With Tesla’s sales and profits plummeting while Musk has been busy redesigning (read: destroying) the entire US government, you might think focusing more on Tesla would be logical. But that assumes any of this is actually about logic.

Like so many Musk pronouncements, this one’s mostly vaporware. Not only had this “stepping back” been reported weeks ago (though never confirmed), but if you look closely at what he actually said, he’s not really leaving DOGE at all, even as news headlines claimed otherwise. He just claimed he would spend less time on DOGE, giving a bit more time to his many other companies.

He said he’ll continue to spend a “day or two per week” on government issues “for as long as the president would like me to do so.”

But, of course, according to official filings from the US government, Elon Musk isn’t even a part of DOGE, an obvious lie that basically no one (other than the DOJ in sworn statements to a court) pretends are true.

Technically, Musk is a “special government employee” who supposedly can only advise the President, though in practice, we know that’s also not true. He’s basically running big parts of the government. And despite having no constitutionally-required appointment for such authority, he appears to be deciding what things can be cut, and shutting down entire agencies. While some have speculated the supposed “May” step down is because those SGE jobs are only supposed to last 130 days, apparently the government can issue waivers to allow those SGEs to stay on significantly longer.

And, really, Musk has violated a ton of other rules that apply to SGEs, including those around conflicts of interest, impartiality, and a ban on “partisan political activities.” Given how much Musk has done that involves a conflict of interest, and his ongoing partisan political activities, it seems that he doesn’t much care to follow the rules. So, the idea that anyone in this government cares about the supposed 130 day limit is laughable.

A closer reading of Musk’s actual words shows he’s not really going anywhere. He’s just promising not to spend all his time in DC anymore. And even that comes with a rather significant caveat:

“I’ll have to continue doing it for, I think, probably the remainder of the president’s term, just to make sure that the waste and fraud that we stop does not come roaring back, which will do if it has the chance,” Musk said

Let’s talk about those savings Musk is so worried about protecting. There are basically three stories here, each more puzzling than the last.

First, there’s the story of the incredible shrinking savings target. Musk started by promising to cut $2 trillion from the federal budget right before the election. Post-election, perhaps realizing people might actually try to hold him to that number, it suddenly became $1 trillion. A few weeks ago, he lowered expectations again to $150 billion.

If you’re playing at home, the difference between $2 trillion and $150 billion is… just about $2 trillion.

The second story is about what’s actually being cut. Even the $150 billion is nonsense — not only has DOGE failed to demonstrate any actual waste or fraud (certainly no one’s been charged with fraud), but the programs they’re recklessly cutting are likely to cost taxpayers way more than they save.

And the third story? That’s about how DOGE counts its supposed savings. As the NY Times detailed, those numbers look to be pretty much fictional:

One of the group’s largest claims, in fact, involves canceling a contract that did not exist. Although the government says it had merely asked for proposals in that case, and had not settled on a vendor or a price, Mr. Musk’s group ignored that uncertainty and assigned itself a large and very specific amount of credit for canceling it.

It said it had saved exactly $318,310,328.30.

Even as the media keeps fact-checking these claims, DOGE just quietly makes random changes to its website, hoping no one notices. The NY Times caught them deleting entries that triple-counted the same savings, confused “billion” with “million”, and even claimed credit for canceling contracts that ended during the George W. Bush administration.

But the errors keep coming. Their second-biggest claimed savings? A supposedly canceled IRS contract worth $1.9 billion that was actually canceled under Biden. Their third-biggest? A $1.75 billion savings from canceling a vaccine nonprofit grant that had already been paid in full.

This might all be amusing if it weren’t so stupid and causing so much damage. Even as Musk was publicly walking back expectations to $150 billion in savings, DOGE’s own website was still claiming $160 billion. And then there’s the matter of Musk’s Twitter activity, where he seems to have discovered an entirely new category of fictional math, in which he will regularly and repeatedly retweet claims that disagree with his own admission that DOGE will only save $150 billion.

The latest example? Musk enthusiastically amplifying claims about massive Social Security fraud. Here he is, just yesterday, retweeting someone claiming $12.6 billion in monthly savings from supposedly removing “7 million scammers” from the system:

There are several problems here. The first, as Wired detailed, is that not a single part of this claim is true. The Social Security Administration has long had systems to prevent payments to deceased beneficiaries, including (but certainly not limited to) their automated processes to stop anyone over 115 from receiving any payments at all. Which means, rather awkwardly for Musk’s claims, none of these supposedly fraudulent recipients were actually receiving any money to begin with, and even if they were cut from the system, the savings would be $0.

Actually, it would be worse than that, because the SSA had already considered this exact issue. A report shows they deliberately chose not to update death records for these super-elderly non-recipients, because doing so would cost far more than any theoretical fraud it might prevent. The few actual cases of payments to deceased beneficiaries are handled through other means.

More than anyone else in the world, Musk is in a position to find out what’s really happening, but he’s been repeating the false claims about Social Security for months now. And, hell, for a supposed genius, even he should be able to do the basic math and realize that if his SS savings alone were $12.6 billion a month, that alone would basically equal the claimed $150 billion in annual savings.

Even worse, right around the time that Musk was telling the world to maybe expect $150 billion in savings, he retweeted some rando’s account claiming DOGE had already saved nearly twice that:

That retweet claiming $291.6 billion in savings came… three days before Musk announced at a cabinet meeting that savings for the entire fiscal year might reach $150 billion. In a normal world, you might expect his supporters (or the media?) to notice this rather stark contradiction. But this isn’t a normal world. Both numbers are somehow treated as equally valid, equally true, equally worth celebrating.

There’s a pattern here that goes beyond just bad math. Musk leads DOGE while government lawyers swear under oath that he doesn’t. He’s supposedly running Tesla while spending his time dismantling the federal government. He claims massive savings that don’t actually exist. He retweets numbers that directly contradict the numbers he personally announced just days earlier.

The whole thing feels like it should collapse under the weight of its own contradictions. But it doesn’t, because it was never meant to make sense. It’s basically all kayfabe — that peculiar form of theatrical fakery where the audience chooses to believe despite knowing better.

The difference is that unlike wrestling, where the fakery is harmless entertainment, this performance is actively destroying what had been the most amazing democracy and economy on the planet. And that’s a lot less fun to watch.

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Companies: tesla

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Comments on “Elon Musk Pretends He’s Leaving The Job He Supposedly Doesn’t Have To Not Return To The Job He Supposedly Never Left”

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48 Comments
This comment has been deemed insightful by the community.
Somewhat Less Anonymous Coward (profile) says:

Re: What comes next?

No only the reputation, but in the process running DOGE Musk committed so many crimes it’s hard to count them all. Shuttering agencies without congressional approval, compromising data systems, illegal firings – those are just the broad strokes, converting them to actual counts of criminal activity is beyond my pay grade or graphomania. There’s no way he stays out of jail should someone even half decent be appointed to run the DoJ again. So how will this play out? The remains of the American democracy die and a procession of AI-obsessed fascists takes over, preventing the justice? What will he do is he senses there’s a chance of him facing consequences?

The bridge was burned, there’s no way back in every conceivable way.

This comment has been deemed insightful by the community.
That One Guy (profile) says:

Re: Re:

What will he do is he senses there’s a chance of him facing consequences?

Oh I can answer that one, one ‘campaign donation’ will be made and by complete and total coincidence within the week convicted felon Trump pardons Elon for anything he did while he wasn’t the head of DOGE.

Somewhat Less Anonymous Coward (profile) says:

Re: Re: Re:

That’s an option. Though with the felon out of the office any reconstruction effort should tear to pieces everything he did, including pardons. I know that right now they are unreviewable – it doesn’t mean it has to remain so.

Anyway, i’m personally hoping he does a Matthew Perry as soon as possible, that’s solve a lot of problems.

This comment has been deemed insightful by the community.
Stephen T. Stone (profile) says:

Re: Re: Re:2

You can only pardon the convicted.

The Supreme Court ruled otherwise in 1867, when it ruled that the president’s pardon power is unlimited (save for impeachment cases) and can pardon people for offenses that have yet to go to trial. Richard Nixon was preëmptively pardoned for Watergate and any crimes connected to it without having been convicted of any crime. Hunter Biden was pardoned for the federal crimes of which he was convicted, but he was also pardoned for “offenses against the United States which he has committed or may have committed or taken part in during the period from January 1, 2014 through December 1, 2024”. And a whole bunch of the insurrectionists from the 6th of January 2021 were pardoned without having been tried and convicted. Since the courts have never ruled on the legal effect of such preëmptive/presumptive pardons, they are basically as good as an actual post-conviction pardon.

Tanner Andrews (profile) says:

Re: Re: Re:2 citation needed

You can only pardon the convicted

Are you overruling the Supreme Court’s decision in Ex parte Garland, 71 U.S. 333 (1866) on your own authority, or do you have a citation for us?

And, for that matter, have you any good explanation for Burdick v. United States, 236 U.S. 79 (1915) consistent with your assertion?

This comment has been flagged by the community. Click here to show it.

Koby (profile) says:

Business Not Bureaucracy

But, of course, according to official filings from the US government, Elon Musk isn’t even a part of DOGE, an obvious lie that basically no one (other than the DOJ in sworn statements to a court) pretends are true.

Businesses have hired consultants to jump start their operations for many years. For some reason, applying this same concept to a government department stupifies you. Musk has been employed as a special consultant to the White House, he retooled DOGE, they integrated it into other government departments so that they can actually conduct audits, and now DOGE is past its initial setup. The employees know what to do, and what to look for, so Musk can cut back on the work hours.

This comment has been deemed insightful by the community.
Strawb (profile) says:

Re:

Businesses have hired consultants to jump start their operations for many years. For some reason, applying this same concept to a government department stupifies you.

In the real world, external consultants aren’t in charge of the departments they’re hired to consult on. Why does the truth always stupefy you, Koward?

[…]now DOGE is past its initial setup. The employees know what to do[…]

BAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA!

Stephen T. Stone (profile) says:

Re:

Businesses have hired consultants to jump start their operations for many years. For some reason, applying this same concept to a government department stupifies you.

The federal government isn’t a business, despite what your fascist demigod and his billionaire co-führer tells you to the contrary.

Musk has been employed as a special consultant to the White House, he retooled DOGE, they integrated it into other government departments so that they can actually conduct audits, and now DOGE is past its initial setup.

Translation: “Musk was doing some illegal shit before Trump backdated an order that said Musk wasn’t doing illegal shit, and the brown-nosing coders who work for him are fucking things up without Musk’s guidance now.”

The employees know what to do, and what to look for

[citation needed]

Or do you believe Musk and Trump thought cutting programs that help poor children and fund investigations of child abuse were things that the government of the United States absolutely needed to do for the sake of saving money regardless of the consequences? Go ahead, Koby⁠—justify those cuts. I fucking insist.

This comment has been deemed insightful by the community.
BernardoVerda (profile) says:

Re:

Audits are performed by certified accountants, not by sketchy computer hackers.

Audits are conducted by carefully analyzing the records, not by installing malware, deactivating security protocols, and stealing private data.

Audits are conducted by doing the math, not by pulling crazy numbers out of one’s ass, that don’t even have the decimal point in the right place, or the correct number of zeros in front of it.

Kids that have passed a high-school bookkeeping class could do a better job of conducting an actual audit.

Rocky (profile) says:

Re: Re:

It would be interesting to run a fraud detection algorithm on the numbers DOGE has published, there are certain tells that it can pick up when numbers are made up because humans has a tendency to choose numbers they think are random by they aren’t when placed in context. Many of these algorithms uses for example the Newcomb-Benford law which dictates the frequency distribution of digits in a number, and made up numbers makes the distribution very skewed from the norm.

This type of algorithms are what real auditors actually use when looking for potential fraud, and if DOGE really wanted to find fraud they could have hired numerous consultants from companies that specialize in these things but I guess it’s easier to just scream fraud because they don’t even understand how a system store dates.

This comment has been deemed insightful by the community.
bhull242 (profile) says:

Re:

Businesses have hired consultants to jump start their operations for many years.

Government is not a business.

For some reason, applying this same concept to a government department stupifies you.

Because, aside from the IRS, the point of a government department/agency is not to make money. By contrast, the sole purpose of a business is to make money.

MrWilson (profile) says:

Re:

For some reason, applying this same concept to a government department stupifies you.

That you think a billionaire would make a good president or government consultant at all is very telling. That you pretend running a business in a capitalist system is anything like running a government is telling.

Tell me you favor profit over human rights without telling me you favor profit over human rights. Oh, wait, you already did.

This comment has been deemed insightful by the community.
Arianity (profile) says:

The second is that he’s returning to a job (Tesla CEO) that he’s supposedly been doing this whole time.

Don’t forget his “third job” (SpaceX), “fourth job” (Boring Co), “fifth job” (Twitter), or “sixth job” (xAI), or “seventh job” (Starlink), all while having time to pretend to be good at video games and shitpost/harassing women on Twitter all day.

Stephen T. Stone (profile) says:

Re:

shitpost/harassing women on Twitter all day

Funny thing is, he’s apparently getting rid of DMs on Twitter because a woman⁠—one he was paying a fair amount of money to effectively promote Twitter’s monetization options, naturally⁠—rejected via DMs his offer to carry another one of his eugenics babies.

This comment has been deemed insightful by the community.
Anonymous Coward says:

He should’ve stuck to cars and rockets instead of shit-posting.

If anything SpaceX is his real contribution to government savings. Not guesstimating savings from a poorly run audit.

Jessica Reidl would’ve been a perfect candidate for truly reducing government bloat, but since this is someone who came out as trans I guess that means we’re supposed to stick to people who don’t even know the territory they’re navigating instead.

This comment has been deemed insightful by the community.
Anonymous Coward says:

There is an important fourth story. Trump began his second term by firing 17 Inspectors General across the government. Trump fired the IGs to make it easier for him to break laws and ignore regulations, but another important responsibility of the IGs was identifying waste, fraud, and corruption. In fact, the fired IGs recently identified approximately $250B in unnecessary or illegal payments—double what the DOGE crew found. And unlike DOGE, the cuts the IGs identified are very well-documented. They’re legit.

Also, the IRS has estimated that DOGE’s cuts to the IRS will reduce tax revenue by as much as $500B.

On balance then, despite all this chaos, DOGE and Trump’s other moves have cost the government far more than they have saved.

Anonymous Coward says:

I know none of it is true, but if in a parallel universe we were to believe that “living count” table, wouldn’t the fundamental question be; why hasn’t every line been reduced to zero? I mean, maybe a serious and thorough group would investigate everyone in the 120-129 bracket, but there’s no one alive older than 130 so at least they should all be zero. Even in their fake data they’re not doing a good job!

This comment has been flagged by the community. Click here to show it.

Kelly C says:

Journalism should include facts not just conclusions

Dear writer of this article please include facts to support your opinions as that would help people see what your writing has merit. I have found several inaccuracies in your article where you left out key information out of statements you claimed Musk said which made it sound as if he said something different then what he really said. Context matters and facts matter so please dont rephrase something in a matter that changes the meaning that is not how you convince others . Instead present a clear position with supporting facts not partial facts that twist a truth to your position that is bad journalism.

That One Guy (profile) says:

Re: Practice what you preach

I have found several inaccuracies in your article where you left out key information out of statements you claimed Musk said which made it sound as if he said something different then what he really said.

Dear writer of the above, if you think that the article’s author left out ‘key information’ it would be of great value were you to actually present that ‘key information’ so that both the author and other readers can judge it and decide if the original claims were in fact so fatally flawed and without proper context.

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