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Elon Musk Is Said To Be Getting The War Plan Against China

from the beyond-conflicts-of-interest dept

Update: After the NY Times reported this story last night, Donald Trump denied that Musk would be getting the China war plan, and now the NY Times is reporting that, while that was the original plan, it was scrapped because of the public outcry The Wall Street Journal is similarly reporting that the nature of the meeting changed because of the public revelation. We’re still running this article from Mike Brock that he wrote yesterday, because of the seriousness of this situation. Meanwhile, Elon Musk, continuing to show his anti-free speech instincts, has threatened whoever leaked the original story.

The New York Times reports that Elon Musk is about to receive access to one of America’s most sensitive military secrets: the Pentagon’s war plan for a potential conflict with China. Let that sink in for a moment.

The same Elon Musk who is currently CEO of Tesla, which operates a flagship factory in Shanghai that produces more than half of the company’s global deliveries. The same Elon Musk whose company has a $2.8 billion loan agreement with Chinese lenders. The same Elon Musk who has publicly stated that Taiwan should be a “special administrative zone” of China. The same Elon Musk who wrote a flattering column for China’s censorship agency and has consistently praised Chinese leadership on social media.

This isn’t just a routine conflict of interest—it’s a national security nightmare unfolding in plain sight.

According to the New York Times, Musk will be briefed Friday on the top-secret operational plan that includes “what Chinese targets to hit, over what time period” in the event of war. This information is so sensitive that it’s typically only shared with those directly in the military chain of command. Even presidents usually receive only the broad contours, not the specific operational details.

Defenders of this unprecedented access might argue that Musk’s role in the Department of Government Efficiency necessitates his understanding of defense capabilities to make informed budget decisions. But this justification collapses under scrutiny. Budget oversight has never required access to operational war plans—Congress has managed defense appropriations for centuries without such detailed briefings. Moreover, if budget efficiency were truly the goal, why not provide similar briefings to the Office of Management and Budget or congressional committees with actual constitutional authority over spending?

What this justification reveals is alarming: DOGE isn’t just about eliminating waste; it’s about fundamentally reshaping America’s defense posture with minimal oversight. We are witnessing the privatization of national security decision-making, where unelected billionaires with business conflicts receive information traditionally reserved for the military chain of command.

The historical precedents for such arrangements are uniformly disastrous. During the 1930s, German industrialists with international business ties were given increasing influence over military planning, ultimately subordinating national security to corporate interests. More recently, the revolving door between defense contractors and the Pentagon has raised serious ethical concerns—but never before has a sitting CEO of multiple companies simultaneously directed government “efficiency” efforts while receiving classified operational briefings.

This meeting represents an unprecedented blurring of lines between private business interests and national security. Musk simultaneously heads SpaceX, a major defense contractor receiving billions in Pentagon funds, while directing government efficiency efforts that could determine which competitors receive future contracts. In the Times piece, defense expert Todd Harrison noted, “Giving the CEO of one defense company unique access seems like this could be grounds for a contract protest and is a real conflict of interest.”

Most concerning is China’s explicit identification of Musk’s Starlink satellite network as an extension of the U.S. military—a view that puts his profound business interests in China in direct conflict with his privileged access to U.S. war planning. This is precisely the kind of conflict that led the Air Force to previously deny Musk an even higher security clearance, citing potential security risks.

The mechanisms through which this conflict could compromise national security are not theoretical. Knowledge of U.S. targeting priorities creates leverage that can be exploited in multiple ways. Chinese authorities, well aware of Tesla’s vulnerability in their market, could apply subtle pressure through regulatory actions against his Shanghai factory. Even without explicit coercion, Musk’s awareness of which Chinese facilities would be primary targets in a conflict could unconsciously influence his business decisions—perhaps steering Tesla investments away from areas identified as strategic targets, inadvertently telegraphing U.S. military priorities. The Chinese government, which maintains sophisticated intelligence operations, would analyze any such patterns for insights into U.S. planning.

What we are witnessing is, in fact, an oligarchical coup—a term I’ve repeatedly used here at Notes From The Circus, and one that becomes increasingly difficult to dismiss as hyperbole with each passing week. The transfer of core governmental functions to private interests with minimal oversight represents precisely the kind of capture that transforms democracies into oligarchies. When billionaires simultaneously direct government operations, receive classified briefings, and maintain private business empires—all with minimal accountability—we have moved beyond normal governance into something fundamentally different: rule by the wealthy few rather than democratically elected representatives.

The urgency of this situation cannot be overstated. This briefing is scheduled for today. By the time many of you read these words, one of America’s most closely guarded military secrets will have been shared with a businessman whose company depends on the goodwill of the very country those plans are designed to counter. Once this line is crossed, it cannot be uncrossed. The precedent it sets—that private citizens with business conflicts can access war plans—will be cited to justify even more egregious breaches in the future. With each successive norm violation, our capacity to be shocked diminishes, and the machinery of constitutional governance rusts further.

This unprecedented arrangement threatens not just domestic governance but international stability. America’s allies, already questioning U.S. reliability under Trump, will further distance themselves when they see sensitive security matters handled with such cavalier disregard for conflicts of interest. The Five Eyes intelligence alliance (US, UK, Canada, Australia, New Zealand), built on decades of mutual trust, faces particular strain as partner nations grow increasingly reluctant to share sensitive information that might find its way to private citizens with complex international business interests. Japan and South Korea, frontline states in any potential conflict with China, must now factor in the possibility that U.S. war planning is being influenced by private business considerations. Meanwhile, adversaries will be emboldened, seeing in this arrangement confirmation that U.S. national security has been subordinated to private financial concerns.

Congress, in light of its constitutional prerogatives, should immediately demand a full accounting of who authorized this briefing and under what authority. It should establish clear statutory limits on what information can be shared with DOGE personnel, require security clearance reviews for all private citizens given access to classified information, and mandate recusal from any matter involving countries where officials have substantial business interests. While it’s highly unlikely that the complicit Mike Johnson and the current GOP majority in Congress will undertake any of these actions, I make these suggestions for the sake of posterity and to make the ethical, legal, and constitutional point.

Public engagement remains our most viable path forward when institutions fail. History shows that citizen action has successfully preserved democratic guardrails even during periods of institutional capture. The Pentagon Papers revelations, which exposed government deception about Vietnam, demonstrated how courageous individuals can create accountability when formal channels fail. More recently, the post-9/11 surveillance revelations prompted significant reforms only after public pressure made inaction politically untenable. In both cases, the combination of whistleblowers, independent journalists, and sustained public attention created counterweights to unchecked executive power.

Similar citizen vigilance is required today, and it must be immediate and sustained. Support for independent journalism investigating these conflicts, advocacy for stronger ethics laws, attention to congressional oversight hearings (or lack thereof), and consistent pressure on representatives across party lines can create political costs for normalizing such conflicts. Professional associations like the American Foreign Service Association, the Military Officers Association of America, and the Intelligence and National Security Alliance should leverage their credibility to formally condemn this breach of security protocol. Retired intelligence officials, military officers, and national security experts—many of whom have spent careers protecting classified information—must speak out collectively, making clear that this is not a partisan issue but a national security emergency. Most importantly, voters must demand answers from candidates about where they stand on private influence over national security decisions.

Two plus two equals four. There are twenty-four hours in a day. And a businessman with billions in financial exposure to China should not have access to classified war plans against that same country. This is madness. Anyone who defends this is deranged. This isn’t a partisan observation—it’s a fundamental principle of national security that appears to have been casually discarded.

At stake here is more than just operational security—it’s the principle that national defense decisions should be made by democratically accountable officials sworn to uphold the Constitution, not by private citizens with competing financial interests. When we allow the line between public service and private gain to blur this dramatically, we undermine the foundation of democratic governance itself: that power flows from the people through their elected representatives, not from wealth and proximity to those representatives.

The question isn’t whether this represents a conflict of interest—it plainly does. The question is whether we still possess the collective will to defend democratic principles when they’re most threatened. The vigilance required to preserve constitutional governance doesn’t rest with officials alone—it falls to each of us to recognize, name, and resist the normalization of conflicts that strike at the heart of democratic accountability. If we cannot draw the line at giving war plans to businessmen with financial ties to potential adversaries, it’s difficult to imagine where we would draw it at all.

Our democracy’s survival requires not just awareness but action—not just concern but commitment. The Constitution’s promise of government by the people, for the people depends not on parchment guarantees but on citizens willing to stand for its principles when they are most threatened. This moment demands nothing less than our full engagement in the defense of democratic governance against its capture by private interests. That is both our inheritance and our obligation to those who will follow.

“The accumulation of all powers, legislative, executive, and judiciary, in the same hands… may justly be pronounced the very definition of tyranny.” — James Madison, Federalist No. 47

Mike Brock is a former tech exec who was on the leadership team at Block. Originally published at his Notes From the Circus.

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Comments on “Elon Musk Is Said To Be Getting The War Plan Against China”

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43 Comments

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Stephen T. Stone (profile) says:

Re:

The legacy news outlets are once again citing anonymous sources. Basically it’s a license to make any possible claim, no matter how untrue.

Hey, dipshit: Outlets like the New York Times actually vet the people who choose to stay anonymous so those outlets aren’t sent on a wild goose chase or print something defamatory. If a source remains anonymous, it’s typically because that person isn’t allowed to go on the record with their government name and shit. That’s also a mutual show of respect, in that the outlet keeping that person anonymous means the outlet can be trusted to do that again in the future.

Anonymous Coward says:

Re: Re:

Outlets like the New York Times actually vet the people who choose to stay anonymous

“Anonymous” is a term best avoided in situations like this, because it has several meanings that seem similar but are really quite different; this isn’t the first time it has (or may have) led to misunderstandings.

Often, the term refers to a person whose identity is not known to any other person (for example, it’s extremely unlikely anyone will know my identity as the author of this post; I’m hiding my IP address). When a news organization refers to anonymous sources, they usually mean people whose names the organization is withholding from the public, despite being known. But that’s not always the case, especially when they refer to anonymous online comments, or anonymous sources at other organizations. It’s not always clear what they mean, and I can’t check these NYT or WSJ stories due to the paywalls.

This comment has been deemed insightful by the community.
Anonymous Coward says:

Donald Trump denied that Musk would be getting the China war plan

Considering the source, that denial means fuck-all (not in the sense that it’s a lie; just that Trump doesn’t consider reality or history while talking). And the denials from other sources can only mean so much while Trump has access to the plan, and the ability to unilaterally declassify anything. Maybe Musk will just happen across it while visiting Mar-a-Lago one day.

ECA (profile) says:

For all of Capitalism, and getting a nation to do the work/fighting, Rather then them.

If ONLY we could get National Capitalism to wonder over to other countries and MAKE FRIENDS. These SAME ideals, causing problems, Came around when OPEC started up and took over the middle east Oil.
The ‘We want that back’ mentality caused many problems. As each of those countries that were TAKEN OVER by the EU and the USA, wanted their Own freedom, to control their own nations, Insted of Shipping/Exporting all the nations Goods Back to the EU and USA, and NOT SHARING THE WEALTH.
Just cant get the Ideal into Heads that Everyone can be a capitalist, NOT Just you White folks.

ECA (profile) says:

Re: Re: Capitalism and Taking advantage of other countries

Nationalized Capitalism.
the Government backing of the Corps.
As when England and the USa and 1-2 others took over a good share of the middle east, FOR PROFIT.
Then there has been the USA corps kicking other Nations Out of the America’s. And then taking advantage of those nations For profit.
But what has been ignored in most cases, is the profit Not being taxed. Its made outside of the USA. But Sold it to the USA.
This goes to Imported crops esp. into the northern states During the cold months. And Oil, Tons and tons of the imported oil come from S. America. That was until recently, After we pissed off most of them, then Blackballed them which throws the country into turmoil(Argentina).

This comment has been deemed insightful by the community.
Anonymous Coward says:

Ah yes. Elon Musk. The private citizen and “special government advisor” who is not in charge of any government agencies or programs. The guy who has not been elected to any office or nominated to any government position of authority. The guy who owns a factory that employs 20,000 Chinese citizens in Shanghai that he got a sweetheart deal on for being such a good pal with the PRC government.

That Elon Musk.

This comment has been deemed insightful by the community.
That One Guy (profile) says:

DOGE'd a bullet...

The update is almost as horrifying as the story itself, because not only does it confirm that Elon was within hours of having access to that information but it shows that it was only because the information about the meeting was leaked that that changed, and given that and the regime’s hostility towards ‘leakers’ it’s far more likely than it should be that the next insanely important briefing will include Elon because no-one knew ahead of time that he’d show up.

Anonymous Coward says:

Re:

it’s far more likely than it should be that the next insanely important briefing will include Elon because no-one knew ahead of time

Or because nobody knew, till Elon popped in, that it was being sent over an unencrypted Starlink stream.

Dodging a bullet doesn’t mean much when you’re up against an enemy who’s fond of flamethrowers.

Arijirija says:

There’s a PRC company testing new heavy-lift rockets that look suspiciously like a retread of SpaceX Heavy Lifter. And of course the US Space F[o:a?]rce is now talking big on putting weapons into earth orbit. So guess what the PRC’ll be doing as well … and with a walking security side-channel, they’ll know exactly what to do to counter …

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