When A Computer Glitch Mucks Up Bond Ratings

from the what-do-you-do dept

Interesting story in the financial world, as the Financial Times reported that Moody's, the big name in the bond rating business, may have incorrectly rated certain bonds as Aaa, its highest rating -- given only to a class of bonds that will almost never default. Apparently, the incorrect ratings were due to a computer glitch (always a convenient scapegoat). However, more troublesome is the Financial Times' claim that it has seen documents suggesting that Moody's execs were aware of the error last year and didn't do much to change the incorrect ratings. This is troublesome, as it would be a big hit to Moody's reputation -- which is its biggest asset. Of course, when you rely on a single source (or a single algorithm) to rate bonds, this sort of thing is bound to happen eventually -- and extracting yourself from the resulting mess is always going to be tricky. It makes you wonder if there aren't better ways to rate bonds, that don't have a single point of failure.

8 Comments | Leave a Comment..


If you liked this post, you may also be interested in...
 

Reader Comments (rss)

(Flattened / Threaded)

  1.  

    Still

    identicon
    John, May 22nd, 2008 @ 3:49am

    Well, I would still give the company a AAAA+^2 rating...wait, lemme check something...uh, well, I'll have to get back to you on that.

    reply to this | link to this | view in thread ]

  2.  
    identicon
    Nate, May 22nd, 2008 @ 6:45am

    Why can't I ever get "Computer Glitch" that is benifical for my bank account balance? http://www.custompcmax.com

    reply to this | link to this | view in thread ]

  3.  
    identicon
    kip, May 22nd, 2008 @ 7:46am

    Why can't I ever get "Computer Glitch" that is benifical for my bank account balance?


    Because companies actually care enough to fix those bugs quickly.

    reply to this | link to this | view in thread ]

  4.  
    identicon
    Evostick, May 22nd, 2008 @ 9:14am

    S&P also give those bonds AAA ratings, and they have no bugs

    Apparently

    reply to this | link to this | view in thread ]

  5.  
    identicon
    B, May 22nd, 2008 @ 11:44am

    Now this is some fantastic spin. There was no "glitch". There was no "bug". The computers were not at fault. The problem was an incredibly bad, arguably incompetent, algorithm design which made some very bad assumptions about the relevance of the data it was using.

    reply to this | link to this | view in thread ]

  6.  

    Conflicts of interest

    identicon
    Jaded Investor, May 22nd, 2008 @ 3:40pm

    "The problem was an incredibly bad, arguably incompetent, algorithm design which made some very bad assumptions about the relevance of the data it was using."

    The fact that other ratings agencies came up with similar bogus ratings casts serious doubt on the "computer error" spin. "Computer error" is the business equivalent of "The cat ate my homework".

    It seems more likely that the problem arose because the ratings agencies were paid large sums of money to come up with the "right" ratings.

    reply to this | link to this | view in thread ]

  7.  

    bonds and Aaa rate

    identicon
    Micha, May 23rd, 2008 @ 9:33am

    Hi:
    We Americans are being runed by criminal actions and our government allows it... IRS, FED, and other private agencies have taken over America. I'm ashamed to be American and so powerless to change things. Y'know with all the rubbish going on it saddens my heart.

    reply to this | link to this | view in thread ]

  8.  
    identicon
    Sara, Jul 8th, 2009 @ 3:39am

    Have a look at www.bank-ratings.net I think that could help you as well.

    reply to this | link to this | view in thread ]


Add Your Comment

Have a Techdirt Account? Sign in now. Want one? Register here
Get Techdirt’s Daily Email
Save me a cookie
  • Note: A CRLF will be replaced by a break tag (<br>), all other allowable HTML will remain intact
  • Allowed HTML Tags: <b> <i> <a> <em> <br> <strong> <blockquote> <hr> <tt>


A word from our Sponsors...
Follow Techdirt
Flattr rss rss
From the Techdirt Archive...
A word from our Sponsors...

Close

Email This