A few folks sent in Andy Oram's recent blog post that noted how countries like India, China and Brazil were gaining more power on the international diplomatic stage, and that could mean a pushback against more draconian intellectual property attempts
. Brazil, China and India have all realized that, as developing nations, they often benefit greatly from reduced intellectual property regimes:
As I understand the argument, the institutions responsible for passing new rules respond to the most powerful countries. The US and Europe are on the decline in these organizations. All the countries that benefit from looser IP regimes--China, India, Brazil--are growing in economic strength and are finding themselves in more and more seats at the tables of the world's closed economic institutions. For just one concrete example, look at the shift of responsibility in recent years from the G-7 to the G-20. The G-7 is a familiar set of countries that were powerful from the 1950s through the 1970s. The G-20 is truly diverse, bringing in strong economies from around the world (but still just the ones with some international economic clout).
I'll believe it when I see it. While it is true that those other countries have a seat at the table, it's still the lobbyists from the US and Europe that seem to be dictating the agenda. In recent years, we've definitely pushed increasingly draconian IP laws on those countries. So until we see more serious pushback (and Brazil is really the only major country I can remember that has been proactive
on that front -- India and China have appeared more willing to claim that they'll move toward US-style IP rules) it's difficult to believe this is really happening just yet.