Legal Downloads Increase In Sweden... But For How Long?

from the over-under,-anyone? dept

A few folks have sent in the news that since the implementation of a new antipiracy law in Sweden, legal music downloads are way up... and we already noted that it appears (loosely) that unauthorized file sharing has dropped. This, of course, has supporters of stricter laws insisting that this is "working." However, that seems unlikely. As we've seen, there's been massive demand for encryption technologies. It's no surprise that music sales would increase immediately following the shift, as many users wouldn't have any other source for music in the short term. But, given a chance to route around the new law, it seems likely that many people will do so. At the same time, now would be an excellent time for smart musicians and labels to play up the fact that their music is available to be freely shared, because you can imagine such a move would get a lot more attention than at other times.


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  1.  
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    Matt, Apr 14th, 2009 @ 6:43pm

    probably never changed

    I'd doubt it ever went up, even temporarily. There is 0 to back up the "legal downloads went up 100%" number. I bet out of 1 person tracked of 1 person in the study, that person interviewed bought more legal stuff. Thus, 100%

     

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  2.  
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    Claes, Apr 15th, 2009 @ 4:00am

    Sales figures / first three IPRED cases

    I would take those figures with a grain of salt since the industry representatives have a vested interest in trying to describe the new law as a success. The fact that we just had Eastern holidays could have a large role. One would at least need to go back one year and see if the holidays then had any effect on sales. I think the decline in bandwidth usage is more certain the sources for that are more impartial.

    In addition to the demand for VPN, the directory of one of the major ISPs here said on Swedish Radio this morning that they do not store historic IP-address data. So if someone uses the new law to request contact info for someone who were assigned a specific IP address at a specific time they won't release any such information since they don't store it to begin with (the law does not force the ISPs to store this info, only to release the info they have if certain conditions are met). Now it could be that the EU directive on data retention could change this, but since the motivation for this directive was to fight serious crime it would be reasonable not to grant access to such sensitive information for petty crimes. We'll see how it unfolds I guess.

    By the way, the first three uses of the new law to reveal the identity of internet users are interesting:

    1) The anti-piracy agency requests the identity of someone running an FTP-server with a large number of audio books. The evidence provided is in the form of screenshots. However, in gaining access to the ftp-server the anti-piracy agency likely committed a data breach crime, since the server is rumoured to have been password protected and it's very improbable that they had legitimate access to it (even if they got the password from someone using it could still constitute data breach if they were not supposed to have it).

    2) The second case wasn't related to copyright at all. A printing company in southern Sweden had a hacker break into their system and they wanted to use the new anti-piracy law in order to get the identity of the internet user behind the IP address in their server logs.

    3) The third case is a young Pirate Party member who decided to give the new law a test run and request the identify of the people sharing his music on Pirate Bay. It's not yet clear what he will do with the contact info, but maybe he'll send the persons who shared his music a thank you letter - who knows.

    Isn't it a bit ironic that the first invokation involved data breach in order to gather evidence and the second usage of the anti-piracy law didn't have anything to do with piracy at all but can be seen as a private company doing their own police-like investigation of a data breach crime?

     

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  3.  
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    Claes, Apr 15th, 2009 @ 4:46am

    One of the two largest newspapers in Sweden ran a web poll asking "do you buy more games and movies since the IPRED-law took effect?"

    They got nearly 9000 answers:
    * Yes (3%)
    * No (96%)
    * Don't know (2%)

    Now, one should of course not bindly trust web polls either, but one has to ask oneself how come there is such a discrepancy between this and the figures reported by the industry.

     

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  4.  
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    The infamous Joe, Apr 15th, 2009 @ 9:59am

    Re:

    How do you not know if you've bought more since the law took effect??

    You either did or didn't. My nose is bleeding.

     

    reply to this | link to this | view in thread ]


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