Poll Says Cellphones Still Aren't Killing Political Polls

from the not-this-year dept

For some time there's been a lot of concern about what effect the rise of the cellphone-only demographic would have on the business of political polling. And every time election day gets near, you can count upon pundits and articles about how the polls might not be reliable this year, because they're missing all of these people that don't have land lines anymore. Well according to a new, er, poll, the cell phones are yet to have a significant impact on on polling. Not only is the cellphone-only population still not that large, but people who only have cellphones are less likely to be registered to vote, probably due to the fact that this population skews younger. Still, with more people going to cellphones and VoIP phones, eventually the polling industry is going to have to confront this issue. Expect to hear all these stories again in '08.
Hide this

Thank you for reading this Techdirt post. With so many things competing for everyone’s attention these days, we really appreciate you giving us your time. We work hard every day to put quality content out there for our community.

Techdirt is one of the few remaining truly independent media outlets. We do not have a giant corporation behind us, and we rely heavily on our community to support us, in an age when advertisers are increasingly uninterested in sponsoring small, independent sites — especially a site like ours that is unwilling to pull punches in its reporting and analysis.

While other websites have resorted to paywalls, registration requirements, and increasingly annoying/intrusive advertising, we have always kept Techdirt open and available to anyone. But in order to continue doing so, we need your support. We offer a variety of ways for our readers to support us, from direct donations to special subscriptions and cool merchandise — and every little bit helps. Thank you.

–The Techdirt Team


Reader Comments

Subscribe: RSS

View by: Time | Thread


  • identicon
    Jamie, 27 Oct 2006 @ 12:33pm

    Poll says polls aren't skewed?

    If cell phone use might be skewing the results of political polls, how do we know that this poll is not also skewed. LOL

    reply to this | link to this | view in chronology ]

    • identicon
      Anonymous Coward, 27 Oct 2006 @ 1:28pm

      Re: Poll says polls aren't skewed?

      well, i doubt this poll was done by calling people up. thats why. i'm not saying its not skewed, i'm just saying its not skewed due to cell phones.

      reply to this | link to this | view in chronology ]

  • identicon
    Tommy, 27 Oct 2006 @ 1:40pm

    Likely whitewashing??

    Could this be an effort by the establishment to try to put the meme out that polls are inaccurate? Are they trying to prepare us for "unexpected" or "irregular" election results that somehow miraculously do not agree at all with what the polls are telling us?

    reply to this | link to this | view in chronology ]

    • identicon
      Jamie, 27 Oct 2006 @ 1:59pm

      Re: Likely whitewashing??

      Hate to say it, but polls are inaccurate. Though it has nothing to do with Cell phones. If you have ever studied how polling is done, you will realize that polls can be skewed to prove almost anything by modifying the following: Order of questions asked, wording of questions, accent of questioner, gender of questioner, time of day the question was asked, and the list goes on. The parameters and the effects of those parameters are clearly documented and researched. That is why polls (especially during an election year) can be completely above board and still be contradictory.

      Oh, and by the way. The article was not saying that polls are inaccurate. It was actually saying that Cell phone use was not affecting the accuracy of Polls.

      reply to this | link to this | view in chronology ]

    • identicon
      Anonymous Coward, 27 Oct 2006 @ 3:06pm

      Re: Likely whitewashing??

      In your warped world, just about anything can be construed the way you want it to be construed. Spam elsewhere.

      reply to this | link to this | view in chronology ]

  • identicon
    Rick, 27 Oct 2006 @ 2:40pm

    I only have a cellphone and a VOIP account with Skype (with an incoming phone number). I like not having annoying pollsters calling twice a week.

    I'm also NOT 'younger' at 36 years of age. I'm actually old enough to be president and I do vote. I know of at least 4 other people very similar to myself, without landlines.

    It sounds like the pollsters just don't want to admit cell phones are affecting the accuracy...

    reply to this | link to this | view in chronology ]

  • identicon
    novernetsbandit, 29 Oct 2006 @ 12:57am

    cell phones?

    I seen a story like this the otherday about Minnesota how we are one of the largest Cell Phone only states. I myself (24) only have cell phone and my Parents 60's are about to do the same. They have wrote there xmas letters and emails with the wording that there home phone # for the last 26 years will no longer be active as of Jan 31 2007. I know alot of older couples and singles doing the same. They all agree that the polls are mainly taken from landline phones and also telemarketing calls. thats why they are dropping that line.
    So skewed polls becuase of loss of landlines is happening just not to the affect that we should give a rats tail yet!

    reply to this | link to this | view in chronology ]

  • identicon
    mike-ish, 30 Oct 2006 @ 10:54am

    ported landline number

    I ported my landline number to a cellphone several years ago and i still get telemarketers and pollsters calling me. This has been my phone number for three years and i get calls for the previous owner. The telemarketer calls dropped off significantly when i stopped being polite to them.

    reply to this | link to this | view in chronology ]

  • identicon
    Martin O'Malley, 6 Nov 2006 @ 3:14pm

    STOP THE PERVERT

    STOP BILL CLINTON, THAT SEXUAL PERVERT, FROM CALLING PEOPLE IN MARYLAND TO VOTE FOR ME!!! IT'S KILLING ME!! THE PHONE IS RINGING OFF THE HOOK! GET CLINTON OUT OF MARYLAND AND OFF THE PHONE!

    reply to this | link to this | view in chronology ]


Add Your Comment

Have a Techdirt Account? Sign in now. Want one? Register here



Subscribe to the Techdirt Daily newsletter




Comment Options:

  • Use markdown. Use plain text.
  • Make this the First Word or Last Word. No thanks. (get credits or sign in to see balance)    
  • Remember name/email/url (set a cookie)

Close

Add A Reply

Have a Techdirt Account? Sign in now. Want one? Register here



Subscribe to the Techdirt Daily newsletter




Comment Options:

  • Use markdown. Use plain text.
  • Make this the First Word or Last Word. No thanks. (get credits or sign in to see balance)    
  • Remember name/email/url (set a cookie)

Follow Techdirt
Essential Reading
Techdirt Deals
Report this ad  |  Hide Techdirt ads
Techdirt Insider Discord

The latest chatter on the Techdirt Insider Discord channel...

Loading...
Recent Stories

This site, like most other sites on the web, uses cookies. For more information, see our privacy policy. Got it
Close

Email This

This feature is only available to registered users. Register or sign in to use it.