3G Optimism: Clarification

Back in September we questioned a report by The Thinking Box group about the positive impact of 3G-only carriers. We agreed with their view that new entrants could put competitive pressure on the established players. But we questioned the staying power of the new entrants. Last week Christophe Cauvy wrote in and clarified The Thinking Box’s position, “Yes, the role of first entrants will be crucial in 3G’s success… Or failure. And we believe Hutchison will “shake” the market. But we never said that they will necessarily be there in 5-year time…Just for the record, our report identified 5 scenarios for 2007, 2 of them being pessimistic, with one even called the “catastrophe” scenario.

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