EFF Asks Congress To Look Into Border Searches... >>
<< Despite Winning The HD Format War, Blu-Ray...
 tdicon 


Predictions

by Mike Masnick

Thu, May 1st 2008 1:03pm




Filed Under:
grand theft auto, iron man, movies, video games


Will Grand Theft Auto IV Hurt Iron Man's Opening Weekend Sales?

from the the-media-landscape-has-expanded... dept

While Marvel's lawyers have been doing plenty of work on their own to hurt interest in the new movie Iron Man, some are suggesting an even more interesting scenario: that the release this week of the video game Grand Theft Auto IV (to excellent reviews) will have an impact on how many people are willing to buy tickets to Iron Man's opening weekend. Certainly, the target audience is similar and you could definitely see some gameplayers being more interested in exploring the game than going out to the theater.

While I doubt the impact will be that noticeable (or that there will be any accurate way to measure it), it does say something about the changing media landscape. The video game industry has been trying to position itself as the "next generation Hollywood" for a few years now -- and while not entirely accurate, the growth of the industry has definitely shown that there are many more options for "entertainment dollars" than there were not so many years ago. Of course, while the movie industry keeps whining about piracy, it might want to note that it's starting to face competition from other sources as well.

24 Comments | Leave a Comment..


If you liked this post, you may also be interested in...
 

Reader Comments (rss)

(Flattened / Threaded)

  1.  
    identicon
    Marvel Sucks, May 1st, 2008 @ 1:10pm

    Why should I care? I am no longer spending one penny to support the RIAA or the MPAA. Fuck Iron Man.

    [ reply to this | link to this | view in thread ]

  2.  

    Still Gonna Watch It

    identicon
    Anonymous Coward, May 1st, 2008 @ 1:20pm

    Monday night, I picked up GTA IV at my local GameStop's midnight release event. Been playing it since and loving it.

    I'm also going to see Iron Man tonight at midnight -- a sneak peek event at a Studio Movie Grill with some friends. I'm not a fan of super hero movies, and I got bored of SpiderMan halfway through the second movie. I'm only going to see Iron Man because my friends invited me. It would have had nothing to do with GTA IV if I were not going to see it, though.

    And if someone is so obsessed with playing GTA IV days after it came out, that they can't shell out another $20 or so to go see a movie, well I think that says something about the people, not necessarily the movie.

    [ reply to this | link to this | view in thread ]

  3.  

    Re: Still Gonna Watch It

    identicon
    Anonymous Coward, May 1st, 2008 @ 1:28pm

    I get into movies free, so whatever. I'm going to see it Friday, although its apparently showing at 8pm tonight at my theatre.

    I fail to see the correlation.

    [ reply to this | link to this | view in thread ]

  4.  

    IRON MAN ROCKS!

    identicon
    War Machine, May 1st, 2008 @ 1:35pm

    I've been playing gta for three days,
    But I"ve been waiting THIRTY YEARS for this movie.
    It is the BEST SuperHero move to EVER come out !!
    Iron man is the perfect Super Geek Movie .
    A guy with no super powers excet his brain and some ballS !
    oh yea not to mention some awesome firepower !!!
    I'll be there tonite at an invite preview !
    and tomorrow nite with my kids !1

    [ reply to this | link to this | view in thread ]

  5.  

    laff

    identicon
    Clorox Man, May 1st, 2008 @ 1:44pm

    Will Grand Theft Auto IV Hurt Iron Man's Opening Weekend Sales? No, Iron Man will hurt Iron Man's opening.

    [ reply to this | link to this | view in thread ]

  6.  

    Another reason to blame GTA for low ticket sales

    identicon
    Jeremy, May 1st, 2008 @ 1:57pm

    I'm also surprised they didn't comment on the offer from Rockstar, the 100% club. If you beat the game 100% by next Tuesday, Rockstar will send you a "Key to the City" So, if you play the ~100 hours it will take to finish the game, then you probably won't have time to go to a movie.

    [ reply to this | link to this | view in thread ]

  7.  

    Stupid corporate automatons

    identicon
    IT_Dude, May 1st, 2008 @ 2:02pm

    Maybe the reason no one is going to movies anymore is cause they don't feel like paying $50 to watch a freaking movie. I can just wait for it to come to DVD or if i MUST see it right away download it and watch it with a huge bucket of popcorn & a 2 liter soda at HOME for only $5.

    [ reply to this | link to this | view in thread ]

  8.  
    identicon
    Mojo, May 1st, 2008 @ 2:16pm

    Bad reviews will hurt Iron Man box office more than anything. Remember, Iron Man isn't like Superman or Batman, the character does NOT have that sort of universal appeal and recognition; sure, there is a lot of hype, but Iron Man needs to be a good movie and get favorable reviews if it's going to do well.

    Even if GTA affected opening weekend box office, people who want to see it will eventually get out and see it, so in the long run it makes no difference.

    [ reply to this | link to this | view in thread ]

  9.  

    Re: Fuck Iron Man

    identicon
    zhenchyld, May 1st, 2008 @ 2:41pm

    LLOOOOOOOOOOOLLLLLLL

    Never thought I'd see the phrase 'Fuck Iron Man' anywhere, ever. Thank you so much.

    [ reply to this | link to this | view in thread ]

  10.  
    identicon
    Chris Corcoran, May 1st, 2008 @ 2:41pm

    While I doubt it, there have been similar cases. I remember reading that Square-Enix games only come out on Fridays (or weekends) in Japan due to Dragon Quest III. When that game came out, some many a ton of people reported in sick and schools experienced massive absenteeism. Here's a link to a page: http://www.1up.com/do/feature?cId=3146024

    [ reply to this | link to this | view in thread ]

  11.  

    Re: Re: Still Gonna Watch It

    identicon
    Anonymous Coward, May 1st, 2008 @ 2:44pm

    Sad that you can't see the correlation. Don't get me wrong, I think it's an asinine correlation, but I still see where they're coming from.

    I agree with the GP though:
    "if someone is so obsessed with playing GTA IV days after it came out, that they can't shell out another $20 or so to go see a movie, well I think that says something about the people, not necessarily the movie."

    [ reply to this | link to this | view in thread ]

  12.  

    You're kidding right?

    identicon
    ThatGuy, May 1st, 2008 @ 2:49pm

    Iron Man doesn't need any help from GTA to bomb, it will do that on it's own.

    [ reply to this | link to this | view in thread ]

  13.  
    identicon
    Anonymous Coward, May 1st, 2008 @ 2:54pm

    Bad reviews will hurt Iron Man box office more than anything.

    Check out the reviews. Very positive (95% on rotten tomatoes is not just good, it's pretty amazing). I seriously doubt the impact form GTA IV will be very large... teenage boys can find three hours over the course of a weekend to go see a movie. Heck, my son is trying to convince me to take him to the showing midnight tonight. He will fail; we'll go at 7pm tomorrow, like normal people.

    The really significant aspect of the Iron Man movie is how well it's kicking off Marvel's own movie production company. Marvel characters have accounted for a significant portion of blockbusters over the last five years; if Marvel had the resources to take them all back under their wing, that could have large ramifications.

    [ reply to this | link to this | view in thread ]

  14.  

    Re:

    identicon
    Anonymous Coward, May 1st, 2008 @ 3:18pm

    "Heck, my son is trying to convince me to take him to the showing midnight tonight. He will fail; we'll go at 7pm tomorrow, like normal people."

    Thus setting up years of conflict and lots of counseling sessions ... ;)

    [ reply to this | link to this | view in thread ]

  15.  
    identicon
    Uncle Deercamp, May 1st, 2008 @ 3:25pm

    I'm going to see Iron Man... Couldn't care less about some video game.

    [ reply to this | link to this | view in thread ]

  16.  
    identicon
    Jay, May 1st, 2008 @ 3:30pm

    I bought the game at launch but thats not stopping me from going to see the movie on friday. It be sad if no one can't take 3 hours out of thier time to go see a movie, i mean the games going be there when you get home.

    [ reply to this | link to this | view in thread ]

  17.  
    identicon
    mojo, May 1st, 2008 @ 3:45pm

    The really significant aspect of the Iron Man movie is how well it's kicking off Marvel's own movie production company.

    Yeah and after Iron Man, THE HULK will kick them to the curb.

    darthmojo.wordpress.com

    [ reply to this | link to this | view in thread ]

  18.  

    Re: Re: Re: Still Gonna Watch It

    identicon
    Ron, May 1st, 2008 @ 7:05pm

    You both assume the money exists to do both. With inflation, fuel prices, and general high cost of living, that is not a reasonable assumption. After 60$ to purchase the game I could fully understand not having extra to go out to a movie during that pay period. also the $20 number is for what 1 person to go? For me and my wife it cost 25 to see Transformers and that was with winning free tickets (popcorn, drinks, parking). Its easy for the living with mommy crowd to talk but pull your head out of your nether regions. Personally I don't have the extra to do either.

    [ reply to this | link to this | view in thread ]

  19.  

    Who gives a fuck about opening weekend ?

    identicon
    Franssu, May 1st, 2008 @ 8:16pm

    I have bought GTA4, and I agree this is one of the best videogames ever, light years from the drunk driving/hooker killing game that some conservative assholes think it is. It has depth, a compelling story, awesome gameplay, greatc acting... worth the 100$ I paid for the special edition.

    Will it keep me from seeing Iron Man on its opening weekend ? Certainly not. I never planned to see it this weekend, because I hate overcrowded cinemas.

    Now about the general assumption that great videogames tend to hurt Hollywood's bottom line, I sure as hell hope so. Hollywood deserves it. If they want to make money, they'll have to make better movies. Movies clever enough for us gamers.

    [ reply to this | link to this | view in thread ]

  20.  

    Iron man is great

    identicon
    Kodo, May 1st, 2008 @ 11:08pm

    I saw it yesterday at lunch time andit was awesome. Only other decent superhero movie of recent years has been batman begins. I didn't know the Iron Man story at all but was always going to see this and am glad I did. It has even been getting good reviews in local press here in Australia as well and that's saying something.

    Never played any GTA game and am not about to now.

    [ reply to this | link to this | view in thread ]

  21.  

    Reviews

    icon
    PaulT (profile), May 2nd, 2008 @ 12:57am

    I agree that the reviews of Iron Man will be the real make-or-break for this movie. The trailers have been nothing short of spectacular - this is the first movie in ages where I watch the trailer and thought "yeah, I've definitely watching THAT on the big screen"!

    If GTA4 affects it in any way, it'll be that box office is more spread out - if there's good word of mouth, plenty of people will watch it next weekend as well as this. The fact it's a simultaneous worldwide release also helps spread the online word - if it's any good of course!


    (Ah... While writing this message I popped over to Rotten Tomatoes.. front page article headline: "Iron Man is the Best-Reviewed Movie of 2008!". That settles that then...)

    [ reply to this | link to this | view in thread ]

  22.  
    identicon
    Anonymous Coward, May 2nd, 2008 @ 10:32am

    I saw Ironman 2 days ago and I want to watch it again! (released apr 30 in the Philippines)

    [ reply to this | link to this | view in thread ]

  23.  
    identicon
    mk2, May 4th, 2008 @ 6:22pm

    Ironman did 104 MIllion domestically making it the second highest grossing movie of all time for an opening weekend (non sequel) and a whopping 201M world wide.
    GTA4 did nothing to Ironman's movie sales in fact Ironman was projected to do 50M to 60M and it tripled that world wide!

    [ reply to this | link to this | view in thread ]

  24.  

    newsletter

    identicon
    Chot, Feb 14th, 2009 @ 9:00pm

    newsletter

    [ reply to this | link to this | view in thread ]


Add Your Comment

Have a Techdirt Account? Sign in now. Want one? Register here
Get Techdirt’s Daily Email
Save me a cookie
  • Note: A CRLF will be replaced by a break tag (<br>), all other allowable HTML will remain intact
  • Allowed HTML Tags: <b> <i> <a> <em> <br> <strong> <blockquote> <hr> <tt>


EFF Asks Congress To Look Into Border Searches... >>
<< Despite Winning The HD Format War, Blu-Ray...
 tdicon 

A word from our Sponsors...
Follow Techdirt
Flattr rss rss

Powered by Postrank

From the Techdirt Archive...
A word from our Sponsors...

Close

Email This