Say That Again

Say That Again

by Joe Weisenthal


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Is It 1999? Google CEO Claims More Competition Leads To Higher Prices

from the economics-overturned dept

One of the telltale signs of bubblethink is when people become convinced that some basic rules of economics and business have been completely overturned. Judging from some comments at Google's analyst day, CEO Eric Schmidt seems to have taken a big sip of from a stale vat of "new economy" Kool-Aid as he claimed that competition from Microsoft and Yahoo in the advertising business could actually drive keyword prices up. The only way the price of keywords can go up is if they deliver more value per click (a greater likelihood of a click turning into a sale), or there is an increase in bidders all desperate for internet traffic. Most likely, the new entrants probably won't have much of an effect on them, since neither of the aforementioned factors are affected. That being said, Google may be forced to give publishers a greater share of Adsense revenue to prevent defections to competing products. The statement on keywords wasn't the only strange thing that Schmidt said. He claimed the company has a "limitless growth model" and that, "If this all comes together it will work as a continuous cycle". Though all this talk sounds eerily familiar, one thing has changed. The exponential hockey stick charts of yore have been rotated 90 degrees; they've been replaced with constant talk about the long tail.

15 Comments | Leave a Comment..

 

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  1. by Yeppers - May 10th, 2006 @ 2:53pm

    First Post!

    (reply to this comment) (link to this comment)

  2. Give this man a job at the Post Office

    by MikeT - May 10th, 2006 @ 2:58pm

    They've been proving this quite well! Why look at how great stamp prices are since FedEx and UPS cannot send first class mail!

    (reply to this comment) (link to this comment)

  3. What's google? Is it like a new myspace thing or

    by ben - May 10th, 2006 @ 3:19pm

    Never heard of it.

    (reply to this comment) (link to this comment)

  4. Re: What's google? Is it like a new myspace thing

    by WTF OMG BBQ? - May 10th, 2006 @ 3:24pm

    are you shitting me?

    (reply to this comment) (link to this comment)

  5. I might as well tell you what it is

    by OMG WTF BBQ - May 10th, 2006 @ 3:25pm

    www.google.com

    (reply to this comment) (link to this comment)

  6. by anonymous coward - May 10th, 2006 @ 3:38pm

    google's growth is unlimited because it will use the proceeds from search advertising to slowly eliminate uncompetitive companies in every single aspect of worldwide business and then, when it controls all business everywhere, it will acquire or usurp the government, state, local, federal, global. And the world will be a better place for it.

    (reply to this comment) (link to this comment)

  7. Dumba**es

    by V - May 10th, 2006 @ 3:46pm

    You guys can't tell when you are being baited? Come on, you'd have to live in China to not know what Google is. Wait...never mind.

    (reply to this comment) (link to this comment)

  8. DISCLAIMER: Google bias

    by dave - May 10th, 2006 @ 4:04pm

    "There is a surprising, if not bizarre (fact that) more competition in auction can actually produce more revenue, rather than less," Schmidt said in introductory comments at the company's annual press day at its Mountain View, Calif. headquarters.

    Leaving out this comment might lead to your interpretation, but when you factor in the KEYWORD --->auction

    (reply to this comment) (link to this comment)

  9. boo this comment system stripping my comments

    by dave - May 10th, 2006 @ 4:07pm

    Plain text my booty, quit stripping things.

    Anyway, he's talking about auctions. If theres more parties interested in the auctions for keywords, higher prices will result. These higher prices will mean more revenue, because a keyword doesn't cost google any more than it did before.

    The article should NOT have reiterated his more revenue comment without the auction bit.

    (reply to this comment) (link to this comment)

  10. Re: boo this comment system stripping my comments

    by dave skipped econ - May 10th, 2006 @ 4:29pm

    Right, so if there are MORE people selling the SAME item at the auction then people will bid HIGHER for that item? Dave, the article is talking about increased competition, not increased interested parties. The article is talking about increased supply and your theory depends on a hypothetical increase in demand, which has nothing to do with Microsoft or Yahoo entering the market.

    (reply to this comment) (link to this comment)

  11. Re: boo this comment system stripping my comments

    by Mike - May 10th, 2006 @ 5:13pm

    Anyway, he's talking about auctions. If theres more parties interested in the auctions for keywords, higher prices will result. These higher prices will mean more revenue, because a keyword doesn't cost google any more than it did before.

    That only makes sense if there's more competition WITHIN a single auction... not across multiple ad auctions. He made it clear that he was talking about the competition from Yahoo and Microsoft would drive up auction revenue for Google... which doesn't make sense.

    (reply to this comment) (link to this comment)

  12. Comments on Google

    by Dennis - May 10th, 2006 @ 8:29pm

    I seem to have a very sharp BS detector. I wrinkled my brow when I read this. Then I found out that 'auction' was left out and it made sense.
    Some people, predigilithic (I just made that up) in their conceptual framework, just don't get the internet model.
    What Google is doing is beyond genius.
    I've also come to think that their 'Don't Be Evil' mission statement is a litmus test for good vs bad. People who don't get, who are suspicious of it, can't understand that something like this is actualy possible for human beings to accomplish.
    Those of us who get it share in the vision and have experienced the complete mutational transformation.
    I say this is evolutionary enlightenment in action.

    (reply to this comment) (link to this comment)

  13. Re:

    by DittoBox - May 10th, 2006 @ 8:58pm

    Look! More Bubblethink!

    (reply to this comment) (link to this comment)

  14. Google Payments to Publishers

    by Beck - May 10th, 2006 @ 9:24pm

    Google may be forced to give publishers a greater share of Adsense revenue to prevent defections to competing products.

    Google refuses to disclose to publishers exactly how it calculates the publisher's share of a click. Therefore if Google were to say that they have increased the publisher's cut, the publisher would have to take their word for it.

    Maybe if Yahoo and Microsoft disclose their percentage then Google would be forced to follow suit.

    (reply to this comment) (link to this comment)

  15. Googlenomics

    by Kevin - May 11th, 2006 @ 2:23pm

    Competition = more supply = higher prices?

    Why not? People think that Wal-Mart opening a store and offering to hire people causes wages to fall. It's all from the same tetbook.

    (reply to this comment) (link to this comment)

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